DSpace Repository

Social Expenditure in New Zealand: Stochastic Projections

Show simple item record

dc.contributor.author Creedy, John
dc.contributor.author Makale, Kathleen
dc.date.accessioned 2013-07-11T03:24:37Z
dc.date.accessioned 2022-07-05T02:46:56Z
dc.date.available 2013-07-11T03:24:37Z
dc.date.available 2022-07-05T02:46:56Z
dc.date.copyright 2013
dc.date.issued 2013
dc.identifier.uri https://ir.wgtn.ac.nz/handle/123456789/18780
dc.description.abstract This paper presents stochastic projections for 13 categories of social spending in New Zealand over the period 2011-2061. These projections are based on detailed demographic estimates covering fertility, migration and mortality disaggregated by single year of age and gender. Distributional parameters are incorporated for all of the major variables, and are used to build up probabilistic projections for social expenditure as a share of GDP using simulation methods, following Creedy and Scobie (2005). Emphasis is placed on the considerable uncertainty involved in projecting future expenditure levels. en_NZ
dc.format pdf en_NZ
dc.language.iso en_NZ
dc.publisher Te Herenga Waka—Victoria University of Wellington en_NZ
dc.relation.ispartofseries Working papers in public finance ; 07/2013 en_NZ
dc.subject Population en_NZ
dc.subject Projections en_NZ
dc.subject Stochastic simulation en_NZ
dc.subject Social expenditure en_NZ
dc.subject Fiscal costs en_NZ
dc.subject New Zealand en_NZ
dc.title Social Expenditure in New Zealand: Stochastic Projections en_NZ
dc.type Text en_NZ
vuwschema.contributor.unit School of Accounting and Commercial Law en_NZ
vuwschema.subject.anzsrcfor 140303 Economic Models and Forecasting en_NZ
vuwschema.type.vuw Working or Occasional Paper en_NZ
vuwschema.subject.anzsrcforV2 380203 Economic models and forecasting en_NZ
dc.rights.rightsholder www.victoria.ac.nz/sacl/about/cpf en_NZ

Files in this item

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show simple item record

Search DSpace


My Account