Browsing by Author "Truong, Thu Phuong"

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Open Access
How Do Firms Manage Their Earnings Forecast Strategy? A New Zealand Study
(Te Herenga Waka—Victoria University of Wellington, 2008) Dunstan, Keitha; Gallery, Gerry; Truong, Thu Phuong
In contrast to the trend of research investigating why firms decide to release earnings forecasts to pre-empt any expected change in earnings, our study investigates how firms manage their earnings forecast strategy once they have decided to release earnings forecasts. Using a sample of 350 NZX-listed firm years with balance date ending from 31 January 1999 to 31 December 2005 for 94 companies across the statutory-backed continuous disclosure regime, we document that firms are more likely to adopt a multiple earnings forecast (a portfolio) approach in the statutory sanctions period, particularly for the group of firms expecting favourable earnings change. We also document that these good news firms have a higher propensity to gradually update the market with good news earnings forecasts while those with bad news are more likely to immediately correct current market earnings expectations. These findings indicate that firms expecting better earnings performance are more conservative in their earnings forecasting compared to those expecting worse earnings performance. Although this asymmetrical treatment of good and bad news might not meet the corporate regulators’ objective of a continuously updated market with an unbiased approach to the treatment of information, the overall increase in disclosure frequency in the statutory sanctions period does indicate an improvement in the information flow to the capital market.
Open Access
The Impact of Disclosure Reform and Alternative Sources of Earnings-Related Information on the Market Reaction to Firm-Based Earnings-Related Disclosures
(Te Herenga Waka—Victoria University of Wellington, 2011) Truong, Thu Phuong; Dunstan, Keitha
Our study seeks to investigate changes in the market reaction to earnings-related disclosures following the introduction of the New Zealand continuous disclosure reform. We further extend to study whether these changes are different when there exist the alternative sources of earnings-related information. Using the sample of 580 earnings forecasts and 626 earnings announcements released by 94 firms listed on the New Zealand Exchange during the financial reporting periods ending from 31 January 1999 to 31 December 2005, we find evidence that the introduction of the disclosure reform has impacted to the market reaction to earnings-related disclosures and the availability of alternative sources of earnings-related information plays an important role in shaping this impact. Specifically, the market places less emphasis on post-disclosure reform management earnings forecasts issued by firms of which the alternative sources of earnings-related information are available. There is a significant reduction in the market reaction to earnings announcements in the post-disclosure reform period. This reduction is mainly driven by group of earnings announcements issued by firms of which the alternative sources of earnings-related information are not available. These findings suggest that while the enhancement of disclosure regulation in New Zealand is considered to have some positive impact on the financial environment which is consistent with regulatory intent, the regulators should be aware that the benefits from this disclosure regulation may not be universal and thus the increase in compliance costs borne by all firms could not accordingly be equally justified.
Open Access
The Impact of New Zealand’s Statutory-Backed Continuous Disclosure Regime on Corporate Disclosure Behaviour
(Te Herenga Waka—Victoria University of Wellington, 2008) Dunstan, Keitha; Gallery, Gerry; Truong, Thu Phuong
Since 1 December 2002, the New Zealand Stock Exchange’s (NZX) continuous disclosure listing rules have operated with statutory backing. To test the effectiveness of the new corporate disclosure regime, we compare the change in quantity (frequency), quality (precision and accuracy), and timeliness (horizon) of earnings guidance in NZX disclosures before and after the introduction of statutory backing. Our results provide qualified support for the effectiveness of statutory sanctions. Disclosure frequency has significantly improved; however, a large number of material changes in periodic earnings are either not pre-empted by an earnings forecast or are only pre-empted by an earnings forecast made in conjunction with a routine announcement. In the post-statutory sanctions period, disclosure quality significantly improves in terms of forecast precision and accuracy but at the expense of a decline in forecast horizon, and many forecasts remain qualitative in nature. While these results suggest that the impact of regulatory reforms falls short of the continuous disclosure culture envisaged by New Zealand corporate regulators, the observed positive changes in managers’ forecasting behaviour have been achieved in the absence of strong enforcement action. These findings have important implications for corporate regulators in their search for a superior corporate disclosure regime.
Open Access
The Influence of Board Structure on the Value of NZX Listed Firms and its Association with Growth Options
(Te Herenga Waka—Victoria University of Wellington, 2011) Dunstan, Keitha; Keeper, Trish; Truong, Thu Phuong; van Zijl, Tony
Our study examines the relationship between four indicators of board structure and firm value and the extent to which this relationship may be affected by the level of growth options relative to assets-in-place. These indicators are the level of accounting expertise, gender diversity, the level of independence and the size of the board. Using a sample of 543 firm-years covered by 125 firms listed on the New Zealand Exchange for the 1998-2007 financial years, we found that these board structure indicators together with the level of growth options significantly impact on firm value after effectively controlling for the endogeneity problem. Specifically, firms with a lower number of directors with accounting expertise and/or a higher number of female directors on the board have higher firm value. For firms with a higher level of growth options, a higher percentage of independent directors on the board and/or a larger board are more value relevant. Our findings related to board accounting expertise and board gender diversity particularly may have important implications for corporate regulators.
Open Access
The Influence of Board Structure on the Value of NZX Listed Firms and its Association with Growth Options
(Te Herenga Waka—Victoria University of Wellington, 2011) Dunstan, Keitha; Keeper, Trish; Truong, Thu Phuong; van Zijl, Tony
Our study examines the relationship between four indicators of board structure and firm value and the extent to which this relationship may be affected by the level of growth options relative to assets-in-place. These indicators are the level of accounting expertise, gender diversity, the level of independence and the size of the board. Using a sample of 543 firm-years covered by 125 firms listed on the New Zealand Exchange for the 1998-2007 financial years, we found that these board structure indicators together with the level of growth options significantly impact on firm value after effectively controlling for the endogeneity problem. Specifically, firms with a lower number of directors with accounting expertise and/or a higher number of female directors on the board have higher firm value. For firms with a higher level of growth options, a higher percentage of independent directors on the board and/or a larger board are more value relevant. Our findings related to board accounting expertise and board gender diversity particularly may have important implications for corporate regulators.
Open Access
The Influence of Corporate Governance on Management Earnings Forecast Behaviour in a Low Private Litigation Environment
(Te Herenga Waka—Victoria University of Wellington, 2011) Truong, Thu Phuong; Dunstan, Keitha
We examine the influence of three external corporate governance mechanisms – continuous disclosure regulatory reform, analyst following and ownership concentration and one internal corporate governance mechanism – board structure, on the likelihood, frequency, horizon, precision and accuracy of management earnings forecasts in the low private litigation environment of New Zealand. Based on a sample of 1,082 management earnings forecasts issued by 125 firms listed on the New Zealand Exchange during the 1998-2007 financial reporting periods, we provide strong evidence that these four corporate governance mechanisms have a significant influence on management earnings forecast behaviour after effectively controlling for endogeneity, multicollinearity and self-selection bias problems. Specifically, firms monitored by effective corporate governance mechanisms were more inclined to pre-empt their earnings announcements with earnings forecasts (overall, non-routine and quantitative) and provide these earnings forecasts more frequently. These earnings forecasts issued by these firms were less optimistically biased. In addition, firms having more directors with accounting expertise on their boards and audit committees were more likely to provide earnings forecasts with longer horizon and smaller forecast error. Board size and the existence of a formally established audit committee are shown to have a positive impact on forecast error. A possible interpretation of our findings is that effective corporate governance mechanisms have been able to substitute for private enforcement alternative. Our findings should have important implications for the other low private litigation environments as well as for high private litigation environments such as the United States given the high economic and social costs that have been identified as being related to private litigation.
Open Access
The Value Relevance of Board Gender Diversity for NZX Listed Firms and its Association with Growth Options
(Te Herenga Waka—Victoria University of Wellington, 2011) Dunstan, Keitha; Keeper, Trish; Truong, Thu Phuong; van Zijl, Tony
Our study examines the relationship between board gender diversity and firm value and, in particular, whether the value relevance of female directors is affected by the level of growth options relative to assets-in-place. Using a sample of 865 firm-years covered by 125 firms listed on the New Zealand Exchange during the period 1998-2007, we found that board gender diversity is value enhancing when applying linear modelling. This relationship is strongest for firms with high levels of growth options. We also explore the possibility that the relationship between board gender diversity and firm value is non-linear. This analysis supports the existence of a concave non-linear relationship with the turning point being the appointment of one female director. This suggests that in New Zealand the benefit gained from board gender diversity can be captured with the appointment of one female director. Given the current overseas regulatory developments promoting the appointment of female directors on boards, our findings suggest that there is a value optimising number of women on boards.